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  Uffe Olesen (@OlesenUffe)

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  15:22

  Uffe Olesen (@OlesenUffe)

  RT @Marcorio61O (Marco | Independent Analyst): 🚨🇷🇺🇪🇺 "WE WILL BE AT WAR WITH EUROPE" — RUSSIA'S MESSAGE FROM MOSCOW Larry Johnson just returned from Moscow. He met Lavrov, Ryabkov, and General Alaudinov. What he heard should terrify Brussels. This is not a threat. It is an assessment. 🧵👇 --- 1/ Lavrov's message was blunt: Russia is open to negotiations — but only within the framework Putin outlined in June 2024. Four new oblasts. Crimea. Denazification. No NATO. Demilitarization. Not negotiable. Not a starting position. The position. 2/ General Apti Alaudinov, commander of the Akhmat forces, said it plainly: "We will be at war with Europe." Johnson emphasizes: this is not bluster. Alaudinov is known for facts, not rhetoric. Russia is preparing for this scenario. 3/ Why? Because Europe is crossing red line after red line: — Aegis Ashore systems in Poland and Romania (nuclear-capable) — Merz openly discussing long-range strikes on Russia — Sikorski bragging about destroying Russian refineries — Denmark intercepting Russian ships in the Baltic 4/ Ryabkov told Johnson: "We have people to talk to in Washington now — but communications are not going through normal diplomatic channels." Translation: the backchannel exists. It's just not working. 5/ On the 2022 negotiations: Lavrov confirmed there WAS a deal on the table in April 2022. Russia was ready to sign. Donbas would have stayed with Ukraine. Only guarantees for Russian speakers. Boris Johnson, Biden, and Austin sabotaged it. 6/ Trump "damaged himself enormously at Anchorage," Lavrov said. He made commitments he didn't keep. Russia no longer treats American promises as binding. --- 7/ THE DIESEL CRISIS — THE BOMB NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel attacked Iran. The Strait of Hormuz closed. 20% of the world's high-sulfur crude — the kind that produces diesel and jet fuel — went offline. 8/ For 45 days, tankers already loaded kept the flow going. Then the SPR releases kicked in. By mid-August, the SPR ran dry. Now the shortage is global — and structural. The East-West pipeline was knocked out. It won't restart for months. Maybe ever. 9/ The US imports 8-10% of its crude from the Persian Gulf. 70% of US refineries are built for high-sulfur crude — not the sweet WTI they produce domestically. They cannot replace the lost supply. Not from Russia. Not from anywhere. 10/ Political consequence: diesel is up 80% in six months in some US regions. Republicans will be crushed in the midterms. Trump is blaming Zelensky. It won't work. --- 11/ YEMEN — THE OTHER FRONT One week ago, Ansar Allah took Dubab. They now control Bab-el-Mandeb — coast and islands. They are advancing toward Aden. Marib is threatened. They just shot down an F-15 with a heat-seeking missile. 12/ The "Makkah Defense Pact" with Turkey and Pakistan? Johnson calls them "an American health insurance company" — when you call, they say you forgot to read the fine print. Turkey refused to even host the Gulf+Israel+US meeting. It was held in Germany instead. 13/ Saudi Arabia is out of options: — Military: 150,000 troops vs. 800,000 Ansar Allah can mobilize — Economic: Yambu pipeline flow stopped, no oil revenue — Financial: must start selling US Treasuries — Allies: US rejected their request for help 14/ The US has no good military option left. The Inspector General just confirmed: PAC-3, THAAD, Tomahawk, JASSM stocks are running out. Supply chains are controlled by China. Production capacity is limited. --- 15/ THE $30 BILLION LESSON Iran destroyed an entire Amazon AI infrastructure project in the Middle East — a $30 billion investment — using about $1 million in weapons. If the US wants to rebuild it, it will cost $90-120 billion. This is the new math of war. 16/ The Gulf states are doing the cost-benefit analysis. The deal was: "You protect us from Iran, we keep our money in your system." That deal is now broken. The Iranians hit them. The Americans couldn't stop it. And now they're looking at China as a more viable economic partner. --- VERDICT Europe is not losing a war. Europe is becoming a war project. And Russia is preparing accordingly. The real crisis is not in Ukraine. It is in the diesel pumps of America, the Treasuries of Riyadh, and the illusions of Brussels. --- 💬 How long before Europe admits it is a co-belligerent — not a mediator? --- 📚 Related Dossiers: 📂 #56 — Ukraine 📂 #61 — The Collapse of Europe 📂 #69 — Nuclear Risk 2026 📂 #93 — The European Energy Crisis 📂 #102 — The Odessa Blockade --- #Russia #Europe #NATO #Ukraine #DieselCrisis #Yemen #Houthis #SaudiArabia #Geopolitics #IndependentAnalysis #WakeUpEurope --- *Independent analysis. No ideology. Just facts.* **Marco | Independent Analyst ⚖️✓**